2016 NWSL season
10 teams · 100 regular-season matches played.
Portland Thorns lead on points. But Western New York Flash carry the widest gap in the top half between goal difference (+14) and expected goal difference (+16.5°) — running behind what the chances were worth by 2.5.
Expected goal difference is modeled. A gap of two or three goals over a half-season is well inside the noise.
Shield: Portland Thorns (41 pts) · Champion: Western New York Flash · Golden Boot: Kealia Watt (11)
| 1 | Portland Thorns | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 41 | 2.05 | 37.6 | 14.9 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 39 | 1.95 | 34.5 | 10.5 |
| 3 | Chicago Stars | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 33 | 1.65 | 27.0 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Western New York Flash | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 32 | 1.60 | 45.6 | 16.5 |
| 5 | Seattle Reign | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 30 | 1.50 | 31.8 | 6.8 |
| 6 | FC Kansas City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 26 | 1.30 | 21.7 | -2.5 |
| 7 | Gotham FC | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 26 | 1.30 | 26.0 | -7.8 |
| 8 | Houston Dash | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 22 | 1.10 | 33.7 | 3.1 |
| 9 | Orlando Pride | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 19 | 0.95 | 22.2 | -11.0 |
| 10 | Boston Breakers | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 47 | -33 | 11 | 0.55 | 17.1 | -33.8 |