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NWSL Notebook

Workflows › release 2026-08-03

Who's finishing chances better than expected?

Explorer
2026 · 450 minutes
Result
Ashley Sanchez (Courage) — 3.9 goals more than the chances were worth.
How to read it

Over one season this is mostly luck. Finishing skill takes several hundred shots to show up — widen the year range and watch the ordering change.

Where this result sits

-3.83.9 goals over expectation
Ashley Sanchez sits at 3.9. The middle of the 212 who qualified is -0.2, and the top tenth starts at 1.0. 98 played too few minutes to be ranked.

The evidence

Top 15 of 212 ranked players°modeled — an estimate, not an observation
Ashley SanchezCourage1161384106.13.93.27.50
Janine SonisSummit114119763.03.03.75.10
Leicy SantosSpirit117134052.52.51.93.45
Barbra BandaPride1151101129.62.42.08.91
Gisele ThompsonAngel City116144030.92.11.73.26
Cloé LacasseRoyals117140464.11.93.93.92

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